Some of the trends driving the evolution of digital dashboards

 

Well before COVID19 showed up, many African governments and development organizations had begun investing in digital dashboards as tools for consolidating and presenting information on their activities. In a digital sense, dashboards try to present comprehensive information in real time as opposed to basing decisions on historical data scattered in different government departments and projects.  Formal institutions have awakened to the fact that relying on historical data is like driving while looking in the rear view mirror.

Enriching forecasting processes and models

Following COVID19, entire economic sectors like agriculture as well as government departments and development agencies no longer have a reliable baseline for building their forecasting models. This development is forcing institutions to create real-time dashboards based on new drivers of change and multiple scenarios as opposed to forecasting models built upon macroeconomic indicators. Consequently, the pandemic as accelerated the evolution of several dashboards such as this one https://foodsystemsdashboard.org/ designed to make sense of food systems.

Where governments, development organizations and communities used to rely on historical data and intuitions to plan, recovering from COVID19 will most likely depend on how data is collected, analyzed and made sense in real-time of through dashboards. The pandemic has strong interdependence between African countries and food systems through cross-border trade that has continued to feed populations.   Unfortunately, the movement of food largely uncaptured and unnoticed yet such details should be reflected on national dashboards.

If properly set up, dashboards can capture data with higher levels of precision and better inform socio-economic forecasting models. Due to the paucity of data in most African countries, macroeconomic indicators are not able to accurately reflect how different micro markets, production zones and consumers at different income levels are behaving to cope with shocks.

Using dashboards to guide agricultural transformation

Given their strong inclination on fresh and fluid data, dashboards can guide the formulation of  transformative agricultural marketing policies by ensuring such processes are informed by:

  • Comprehensive analysis of the entire national food basket.
  • Thorough assessment of supply corridors for all commodities. This will reveal barriers to market participation for various commodities and actors.
  • Updated market data (supply volumes, prices and actors for different markets) and interpretations.
  • Local consumption patterns and taste preferences. Policy makers should understand changes happening in the local consumption landscape before focusing on exports.

In the absence of a robust dashboard, most agricultural policies are based on literature review and lack current market trends as well as information that should be flowing in real-time from the grassroots. Where data is lacking, policy makers should at least be informed by audiences who are the ultimate implementers of the policy especially supply chain actors like farmers and processors as well as exporters most of whom can be classified as small to medium scale.

Developing an accurate forecast requires building a new baseline based on the external data that affects all actors in ecosystems or value chains. This will enable governments, development agencies and the private sector to build resilient models by combining historical data with real-time data, showing  volumes of commodities from hundreds of external data points and contributing to stronger forecasts.

charles@knowledgetransafrica.com  / charles@emkambo.co.zw / info@knowledgetransafrica.com

Website: www.emkambo.co.zw / www.knowledgetransafrica.com

Mobile: 0772 137 717/ 0774 430 309/ 0712 737 430

Written by Charles Dhewa

Charles Dhewa Agricultural Knowledge Broker Charles Dhewa is the CEO of Knowledge Transfer Africa, which he founded in 2006 after realising that agricultural value chain actors in developing countries needed a knowledge broker to keep reminding them of what they could be forgetting and under-estimating. Working at the intersection of formal and informal agricultural markets in Zimbabwe, his organisation has setup a fluid knowledge and information platform called MKambo which tracks, trends and ensures agricultural value chains are driven by knowledge, technology and innovation. Charles is always clarifying opportunities and influencing policy through his thought leadership blog ‘eMKambo’.

Write to us : eMKambo